Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.092265 0.144877 0.207497 0.284877 0.375676 0.476967 0.596777
2026-01-04 0.032875 0.090961 0.177083 0.298805 0.455512 0.642315 0.874800
2026-01-11 0.015259 0.073251 0.175140 0.331230 0.542035 0.801232 1.131021
2026-01-18 0.005222 0.057830 0.170091 0.355360 0.615771 0.943845 1.368292
2026-01-25 0.000338 0.040169 0.153833 0.358267 0.657852 1.044468 1.552689
2026-02-01 NaN 0.020247 0.122372 0.331184 0.654368 1.083966 1.659456
2026-02-08 NaN 0.006730 0.091016 0.296236 0.634392 1.098264 1.731759
2026-02-15 NaN 0.001973 0.075753 0.285223 0.646695 1.153424 1.854372
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000526 0.070145 0.291183 0.684006 1.242000 2.019762
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.061181 0.287969 0.705860 1.308796 2.156662
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.047998 0.271654 0.704817 1.342683 2.249857
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.051579 0.295925 0.770835 1.471161 2.467929
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.054912 0.321172 0.841248 1.609684 2.704559
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.053618 0.334606 0.892528 1.722185 2.908398
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.060366 0.369413 0.980046 1.886356 3.180834
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.063577 0.394887 1.051950 2.028587 3.424602
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.058666 0.397990 1.085697 2.116400 3.596274
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.043746 0.369286 1.063179 2.122614 3.658682
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.028705 0.332163 1.022515 2.100488 3.681574
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.022361 0.320439 1.025874 2.141669 3.788847
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.020799 0.326785 1.062569 2.232252 3.963314
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.017308 0.323363 1.080489 2.294700 4.099437
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.011726 0.305977 1.070573 2.314792 4.177282